Vote To See Average Forecast: S&P-500 for July 6 - 10

[Alex]

Please join us to build a collective forecast. Since we all here do a good job of predicting, we could benefit from building a simple average forecast (up, down, or sideways) for the next week. Vote and see the result - link to poll . If you use more than one method for prediction, it could be reasonable to give one vote for each method. "Sideways" is defined as a change within 1%.

[Alex]

Richard, below the results of the poll and the actual market change from the previous two weeks:

Predicted                Percentage voted   Actual              Voters
period                   Up Down Sideways   performance, %      number



Jun 22 - 26, 2009        26  52  23         -0.25               31

Jun 29 - Jul 3, 2009     19  38  43         -2.45               21

[PT]

873 spx

[Richard (permabear)]

dont see us falling too far as opex expiry is only 10 trading days away and most stocks are in the pocket now. have to favour a bit lower from here and agree with Idan's bounce at 880ish ... see my chart in photos. Alex, if you could post the results of the poll and the actual market change from the previous week,,, that'd be nice.